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Posted on Monday, October 3rd, 2011 at 5:22 am.

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New data show that obesity rates in the United States and other nations will hit alarming levels in the next 20 years if nothing changes, prompting researchers to call on governments to take the lead in fighting the increasingly global epidemic.

The call comes as the United Nations is set to hold its first high-level meeting on non-communicable diseases Sept. 19-20 in New York.

“The inexorable global rise of obesity will be the toughest challenge they face,” study authors wrote in one study published in a four-part obesity series in The Lancet. In an accompanying editorial, the journal makes an “urgent call” to establish a framework for obesity control similar to the one the World Health Organization is using to help reduce tobacco use.

In the U.S. alone, study authors expect 65 million more obese adults by 2030 if trends continue. That would mean that 50% of the nation’s men would be obese and 45% to 52% of women would be obese, one of the studies showed. There are 99 million obese individuals in the U.S — about one in three people — although rates vary by sex and ethnicity.

Obesity problems extend well beyond America’s borders. One in four women is obese in the United Kingdom and Australia; seven of 10 women in Tonga are obese as well. Worldwide, about 1.5 billion adults are overweight and an additional half-billion are obese, the research showed. Researchers expect another 11 million obese people in the United Kingdom by 2030.

Price of inaction

Those extra numbers on the scale translate to an increase in health problems. In the U.S., authors of one of the studies expect to see 7.8 million extra cases of diabetes by 2030, 6.8 million more cases of coronary heart disease and stroke, and 539,000 extra cancer cases if weight gain continues.